A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, known as Invest 97L, is located just off the west coast of Africa. It has the best chance so far this season of becoming the first hurricane as it moves west-northwest across the Atlantic.
Most models show this system turning north into the open Atlantic, well before reaching the U.S. or the Gulf. No tropical storms or hurricanes are expected in the Gulf of Mexico for at least the next seven days.
Here is the Google AI take on Invest 97:
Decoding the Google AI ‘Spaghetti Plot’: Why It’s More Than Just One Forecast
You might have seen an image like this circulating online, often labeled as “the Google AI model.” It’s an incredible new tool, but it’s not a single, definite prediction.
Here’s a quick breakdown of what you’re actually looking at:
- It’s an Ensemble Forecast: This is what’s known as a “spaghetti plot.” The image shows a collection of many possible storm tracks, all generated by Google’s powerful AI system.
- It Shows Uncertainty: Each line represents a slightly different scenario. When the lines are close together, the AI has high confidence in the forecast. When they are spread out, it shows the uncertainty and the range of possibilities.
- The Power of AI: This isn’t a mix of different traditional models. Instead, all of these possible outcomes are coming from Google’s single, advanced AI model, giving us a unique look at how it “thinks” about a storm’s future.
So, when you see a plot like this, remember you’re not seeing one simple prediction—you’re seeing a full range of possibilities from one of the most advanced weather forecasting tools in the world.