number of days until summer 2016

How Many Days Until Summer 2019?

2019 Summer Solstice Friday, June 21 at 11:54 am EDT Duration of Summer 2019: 93 days, 15 hours, 56 minutes How many days until summer? Countdown To Summer 2019    Related: Number of days until fall 2019 Number of days until winter

Days Until Winter 2018 Countdown

2018 Winter Solstice Friday, December 21 at 5:23 pm EST Duration of Winter 2018: 88 days, 23 hours, 35 minutes How many days until winter? Winter 2018 Begins In How many days until the first day of spring 2019?

May 24th, 2016, Western Kansas Tornado Outbreak

On Tuesday, May 24th, 2016, an outbreak of tornadoes occurred across western Kansas. There were 13 observed total tornadoes a cyclic supercell near Dodge City, Kansas including four sets of twin tornadoes, a set of triplets, and a large multi-vortex tornado and wedge tornado. So far, the National Weather Service in Dodge City, Kansas, surveyed 9 […]

Remembering the May 21-26, 2011 Tornado Outbreak

From May 21st to May 26th, 2011, destructive tornadoes tore through the Great Plains, impacting thousands of people and leaving billions of dollars in damage in its wake. During this time period, there were 241 total tornadoes, including two EF-5, three EF-4, eight EF-3, thirty-one EF-2, eighty-six EF-1, and one hundred [and] ten EF-0 tornadoes. […]

May 8th and 9th Central Plains Storm Chases

A multi-day dryline setup was in place across the central Plains on Sunday, May 8th; and Monday, May 9th, respectively. Observed conditions from radiosonde, or weather balloon, launches, indicated an environment conducive for widespread severe thunderstorms was starting to filter into the central Kansas and central Oklahoma region. Important to any storm chase is to […]

Dry line convergence & thunderstorm squall line formation

This phenomenon is NOT unusual, but it doesn’t always happen.  Today, the dry line and the resulting squall-line were perfectly aligned.  The data presented a teaching moment that I couldn’t pass up.  At the end of the animation, I zoom in so you can see the wind barbs pointing toward the dry line. The air […]

9 am Tuesday 4/26 partial surface analysis

Update on thunderstorm potential for tonight (Tuesday 4/26)

The Result [Tuesday 4/26 8:17 pm] ➡︎ NOTE: Read the original update from Monday 4/25. ***Quasi-Linear Convective System Has Evolved as Expected*** ***Moving toward DFW with winds of 65+ mph*** Winds of 65+ mph detected within the bowing segments… These will arrive in the metroplex over the next two hours… Some wind damage/power outages possible… […]

Forecast sounding for Fort Worth valid 7pm CDT April 26, 2016

DFW: Severe thunderstorms possible Tuesday Evening 4/26

I typically do not share model data because they can be very complex. I do want to show one of the state-of-the-art programs that I use in my operations to analyze model-simulated soundings. The models do not automatically compute these data; the additional software turns the raw output into meaningful information. At least one of […]

Live stream video from storm chasers

Storm Chasers Broadcasting Live – Watch Now!

Future Radar Storm Chasers Live Storm Reports Rainfall Totals Lightning During periods of severe weather, storm chasers tend to converge on the predicted region, devise their strategy, and hit the road in pursuit of convective development unmatched in variety and intensity anywhere in the world. The United States is home to the most spectacular supercells, […]

A day in my life as a forecaster at the NWS in Fort Worth

A little over a decade ago, I was a forecaster at the National Weather Service in Fort Worth.  Prior to forecasting for North Texas, I was a tropical forecaster at the National Hurricane Center… my first full-time professional position after I completed my master’s degree in 1998.   I loved working in Miami, but my scientific interests […]

The Coldwater, Kansas, Supercell of March 7, 2016

On Monday, March 7th, 2016, a spectacular supercell formed in far northwestern Oklahoma and entered southern Kansas. A supercell is a thunderstorm that rotates. Conditions on Monday were favorable for a couple of supercells to initiate off the dryline in far western Oklahoma, and into western Kansas. However, given weak convergence along the dryline and meager […]

A few thoughts on forecast techniques & forecast variance

Friday 2/12… For the sake of conversation, I wanted to share some thoughts about forecast variance (i.e., the tendency for forecasts to vary from one meteorologist to another), forecast advancements, and forecast techniques. It goes without saying that atmospheric prediction is *extremely* difficult and time consuming. During an active pattern, a forecast for a 36-hour […]

Light snow for Atlanta early next week (Feb 8-9)

Final Update [Tuesday, February 9, 2016] Forecast Verification  [Previous Forecasts Further Down the Page]     Forecast Update #2 for Atlanta – Posted Friday 2/5/16 ***No Forecast Changes*** ***Light snow Monday night/Tuesday*** ***Some light accumulations possible*** ◙ A strong cold front will bring drastic temperature changes to Georgia Monday night… ◙ To get caught up […]

How Many Days Until Spring 2019?

2019 Spring Equinox Wednesday, March 20 at 5:59 pm EDT Duration of Spring 2019: 92 days, 17 hours, 55 minutes So how many days are left until Spring? Spring 2019 Begins In   Related: How many days until summer? Number of days until fall 2019?

Snow Forecast for Atlanta Friday night

➡︎ Quick Links: ● Latest update ● Initial forecast (Tues 1/19) ● Snow forecast ● Radar Special Update (Thursday 1/21 3:30 pm) Flood Watch now in effect for tonight through Saturday morn Winter Weather Advisory for accumulating snow effective Fri 3 pm – Sat 7 am. NOTE:  I do not expect any snow in the […]